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Dovish Fed

Fed celebrates victory vs inflation (prematurely?) by cutting rates aggressively

Nick Stocks's avatar
Nick Stocks
Sep 19, 2024
∙ Paid

Good Morning,

After Fed Chair Powell and the FOMC committee decided to cut rates by half a percentage point Wall Street rejoiced as futures gained steadily overnight.

The Fed’s newest rate outlook shows that much of the committee has flipped its views since the last FOMC meeting. As a whole, the committee plans to be much more aggressive with rate cuts moving forward.

Fed dot plot via Yahoo/data via FOMC

The latest projection shows that most FOMC members believe the Fed funds rate will return below 3% by Q1 2026.

With the new aggression seen in rate cuts, the question of a potential spike in inflation must be raised.

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For now, Wall Street is celebrating so let’s see what could be in store for the coming sessions to close the week.


SPY 0.00%↑

SPY net Δ via Vexly
SPY net Γ via Vexly

As we head into today’s large gap higher, participants can benefit from knowing some key SPY pivots for the upcoming session.

  • SPY pivot = 570

    • NO LONGS BELOW

      • Target 565

    • >570 watch the 571-572 area

      • This area contains the bulk of positive gamma exposure, buyers can remain in control if it can sustain trade above

        • Target 575

      • Should 571-572 act as resistance, buyers will need to utilize the 570 key pivot as support.


QQQ 0.00%↑

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